NFL Week 4

YTD 51-39, +4.89

Here we go.

Early 2-6, -4.50
BILLS+4(loss)
JETS+4(-105)(loss)
2ndH JETSPK(loss)
Titans+12(-105)(loss)
2ndH Titans+6.5(loss)
2ndH RAMS+3(Winner)
Panthers+7(Winner)
Teaser(6pts)(loss)
RAMS+8.5(W)
Chiefs+7.5(L)

Late 2-3, -1.25
BRONCOS-6.5(Winner)
JAGS-1(+100)(loss)
PACKERS-7(-115)(loss)
Over 54(-105)NO-GB(Winner)
Teaser(6pts)(loss)
Dolphins+11.5(W)
Packers-1.5(L)

Nite 6-0, +8.00
EAGLES-1(Winner)
EAGLES-140(3 units)(Winner)
Live Under 41 NY-Phi(Winner)
Live Giants+6.5(-105)(Winner)
2ndH Over 22.5 NY-Phi(Winner)
Teaser(6pts)(Winner)
BroncosPK(W)
Giants+7.5(W)

Best Wishes!!

Wow, the Eagles game made my day.

I was getting crushed early.

But everything I touched in the nite game won.

So, we pulled a winning day out of our asses.

10-9, +2.25

Congrats and Cheers Winners!!

YTD 61-48, +7.14

CFB Sat 9/29

YTD 41-29, +13.70

Penn State+1(Winner)+1.00
VA TECH-6.5(-105)(loss)-1.05
Kentucky+20(-105)(loss)-1.05
Fla Int+7(loss)-1.10
S. MISS+11(-105)(Winner)+1.00
NEBRASKA-12(-105)(loss)-1.05
UTAH ST-21(-105)(Winner)+1.00
2ndH UNLV+10(-115)(Winner)+1.00
FRESNO ST-7(Winner)+1.00
2ndH SDSt+3(-105)(push)
ARIZONA-2.5(loss)-1.10
2ndH Over 28 OreSt-AZ(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

6-5-1, +0.65

YTD 47-34, +14.35

NFL Week 4

YTD 51-39, +4.89

Here we go.


Bills+4
Jets+4(-105)
2ndH JetsPK
Titans+12(-105)
2ndH Titans+6.5
2ndH Rams+3
Panthers+7
Broncos-6.5
Eagles-1
Bears+3.5

Teaser(6pts)
Rams+8.5
Chiefs+7.5

Teaser(6pts)
Dolphins+11.5
Packers-1.5

Teaser(6pts)
BroncosPK
Giants+7.5

Best Wishes!!

MLB Friday 9/28

YTD 230-250, +11.10: Sept 21-24, -2.36

Let's try these tonight.

Rays-114(loss)
Nationals+128(loss)

Best Wishes!!

0-2, -2.14

YTD 230-252, +9.96: Sept 21-26, -4.50

MLB Thurs 9/27

YTD 226-247, +9.70: Sept 17-21, -3.76

Early 1-1, +0.30
Athletics+190(loss)-1.00
Rockies-1.5(+130)(Winner)+1.30

Late 3-2, +1.10
Phillies+121(loss)-1.00
Yankees-1.5(+115)(loss)-1.00
Braves-1.5(+110)(Winner)+1.10
Rays-108(Winner)+1.00
Dodgers-115(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

4-3, +1.40

YTD 230-250, +11.10: Sept 21-24, -2.36

CFB Week 5

YTD 41-28, +14.75

Thurs.
Stanford-6.5(-105)(loss)-1.05

Sat.
Penn St+1(-105)
VA TECH-6.5(-105)
ARIZONA-2.5

Best Wishes!!

MLB Weds 9/26

YTD 225-247, +8.58: Sept 16-21, -4.76

Let's try this one.

Nationals+112(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +1.12

YTD 226-247, +9.70: Sept 17-21, -3.76

MLB Early Weds 9/26

YTD 224-247, +7.58: Sept 15-21, -5.76

Let's try this one.

Yankees-1.5(-145)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +1.00

YTD 225-247, +8.58: Sept 16-21, -4.76

MLB Tues 9/25

YTD 223-247, +5.58: Sept 14-21, -7.76

Let's try this one.

Over 7(-125)Was-Phi(2 units)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +2.00

YTD 224-247, +7.58: Sept 15-21, -5.76

NFL Thurs 9/27

YTD 51-38, +6.99

Let's try this one.

Ravens-12.5(-105)(2 units)(loss)-2.10

Best Wishes!!

0-1, -2.10

YTD 51-39, +4.89

MNF 9/24

YTD 49-37, +5.09

Still reeling from yesterday's debacle.

Teaser(2 units)(Winner)+2.00
Seahawks+9
Under 51.5

2ndH Packers-3(Winner)+1.00
2ndH Over 21(loss)-1.10

Best Wishes!!

2-1, +1.90

Packers got robbed by the scab refs tonight.

YTD 51-38, +6.99

NFL Week 3

YTD 43-27, +14.05

This is what I've got so far.

Early 5-4 -1.01
Rams+7(loss)-1.10
Redskins-3(3 units)(loss)-3.30
Browns+3(-115)(loss)-1.15
Vikings+7(Winner)+1.00
Jags+3(+105)(Winner)+1.05
2ndH ColtsPK(0.5 unit)(loss)-0.51
Jets-2.5(Winner)+1.00
Titans+3.5(-105)(Winner)+1.00

Teaser(6pts)(Winner)
Cowboys-2
Dolphins+7.5



Late 0-5, -9.90
Eagles-3(3 units)(loss)-3.30
2ndH Eagles-5(2 units)(loss)-2.20
2ndH Over 20.5(loss)-1.10
2ndH Steelers-0.5(loss)-1.10
Chargers-3(2 units)(loss)-2.20

5-9, -10.91

Nite 1-1, +1.95
Ravens-2(-105)(loss)-1.05

Teaser(3 units)(Winner)+3.00
Patriots+8.5
Over 42.5 NE-Balt

Best Wishes!!

Not looking good, losing all my bombs.

Gonna be heavy casualties here.

Brace for impact.

Disaster!!

Gruesome day, 6-10, -8.96

YTD 49-37, +5.09

CFB Saturday 9/22

YTD 31-21, +11.55

This is what I have so far.

Early 2-3, +1.75
IOWA-14(-115)(loss)
VA TECH-16.5(2 units)(Winner)
TULANE+19(-105)(loss)
Kentucky+23(-105)(loss)
PENN ST-7(-105)(3 units)(Winner)

Late 8-5-1, +1.45
Cal+17(-115)(loss)
2ndH Under 27 Cal-USC(Winner)
Michigan+6(-105)(2 units)(loss)
2ndH Over 23.5 Mich-ND(loss)
Georgia-14(-115)(Winner)
2ndH Under 23 Vandy-UGA(Winner)
Oklahoma-16(-105)(loss)
Minnesota+3(Winner)
Fresno St+7(-125)(Winner)
2ndH Tulsa-4(-115)(push)
Air Force-10(-115)(loss)
2ndH UNLV+4(-115)(Winner)
Oregon-20.5(-105)(Winner)
Arizona St-7(-105)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

Ugly 1-3 start.

But we finished strong.

Went to see Villanova whoop Penn 24-7.

10-7-1, +3.20

YTD 41-28, +14.75

MLB Friday 9/21

YTD 220-246, +2.69: Sept 11-21, -10.65

Let's try these today.

Cards-1.5(-105)(loss)
Brewers+114(Winner)
Phillies-110(Winner)
Phillies-1.5(+180)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

Cards were 1 strike away from winning.

Bloop single...1-2 cookie crushed.

Bounced back nicely.

3-1, +2.89

YTD 223-247, +5.58: Sept 14-21, -7.76

410 RG3 -3

YTD 43-27, +14.05

Redskins-3(3 units)

Not a bad time to be a sports fan in DC.

Nationals crash the postseason party.

And the Skins have this exciting young QB.

This is his home début.

I like this.

Best Wishes!!

NFL Thurs 9/20 Updated

YTD 40-26, +14.40

Think this line will only go up.

And this is the side I like early, anyway.

Giants-1(2 units)(Winner)+2.00

Best Wishes!!

I didn't realize the extent of the Giants injury situation.

So, the market has taken a dramatic turn, now Car-3 in spots.

Decided to come over the top here.

Panthers-145(3 units)(loss)-4.35

BOL!!

Feeling like a jackass as the G-Men come out sharp.

But it's early. Not liking it tho.

Hoping for a chance to bail in live betting.

Panthers look like shit.

Giants-10(-130) Live(Winner)+1.00
Under 50.5 Live(Winner)+1.00

BOL!!

Lesson here is you gotta trust your stuff.

Not overreact like a square on injury news.

But I was able to limit the damage in Live betting.

Missed a score..should have pressed and not flopped.

3-1, -0.35

YTD 43-27, +14.05

MLB Thurs 9/20

219-246, +1.69, Sept 10-21, -11.65

Sorry this is late.

But the way I'm running, probably a good thing.

Phillies-119(Winner)

BOL!!

1-0, +1.00

YTD 220-246, +2.69: Sept 11-21, -10.65

CFB Weds 9/19

YTD 30-21, +10.55

Let's try this one tonight.

Kent St+3(+100)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +1.00

YTD 31-21, +11.55

MLB Weds 9/19

YTD 219-246, +3.79: Sept 10-19, -9.55

Mets+120(loss)
Over 7 Phi-NYM(loss)

Best Wishes!!

I was one out away from a +$ split.

Walk, homer. 1-2-3 ballgame.

Unbelievable really.

0-2, -2.10

219-246, +1.69, Sept 10-21, -11.65

MLB Tues 9/18

YTD 217-243, +5.14: Sept 8-16, -8.20

My stuff has been brutal.

So, I'm gonna borrow from a pregame.com poster.

STRAIGHT BET Sep 18 MLB [922](loss)-1.15
TOTAL u7½-115 (OAKLAND ATHLETICS vrs DETROIT TIGERS)
[A GRIFFIN -R/M SCHERZER -R]

STRAIGHT BET Sep 18 MLB [924](loss)-1.20
TOTAL u7½-120 (BOSTON RED SOX vrs TAMPA BAY RAYS)
[F DOUBRONT -L/HELLICKSON -R]

STRAIGHT BET Sep 18 MLB [927](Winner)+1.00
TOTAL o7½-105 (TEXAS RANGERS vrs LOS ANGELES ANGELS)
[R DEMPSTER -R/J WEAVER -R]

STRAIGHT BET Sep 18 MLB [915](Winner)+1.00
TOTAL o7EV (COLORADO ROCKIES vrs SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS)
[J FRANCIS -L/T LINCECUM -R]

STRAIGHT BET Sep 18 MLB [929](loss)-1.00
TOTAL o7EV (BALTIMORE ORIOLES vrs SEATTLE MARINERS)
[W CHEN -L/E RAMIREZ -R]

Best Wishes!!

Have I mentioned that I hate betting Under the total.

The sport doesn't matter either.

I don't like rooting for nothing to happen.

The fact that you are never an early winner.

And generally I have horrible luck with them.

Every time I lose one I am reminded of why I hate them.

End of rant.

2-3, -1.35

YTD 219-246, +3.79: Sept 10-19, -9.55

NFL Thurs 9/20 Position

YTD 40-26, +14.40

Think this line will only go up.

And this is the side I like early, anyway.

Giants-1(2 units)

Best Wishes!!

I didn't realize the extent of the Giants injury situation.

So, the market has taken a dramatic turn, now Car-3 in spots.

Decided to come over the top here.

Panthers-145(3 units)

BOL!!

MNF 9/17

YTD 37-26, +10.40

Let's try this tonight.

Falcons-3(2 units)(Winner)+2.00
Under 50.5 Den-Atl(Winner)+1.00
2ndH Broncos-3(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

Sweep!!

3-0, +4.00

YTD 40-26, +14.40

NFL Week 2

YTD 31-20, +11.70

This is what I have.

Eagles-2.5(-105)(4 units)(loss)-4.20
1stH Eagles-1(-115)(loss)-1.15
Giants-7(-105)(push)
Patriots-13.5(loss)-1.10
Colts+3(Winner)+1.00
Seahawks+3(+100)(2 units)(Winner)+2.00
2ndH Cowboys-3(-130)(loss)-1.30
2ndH Over 21(-115)Dall-Sea(loss)-1.15
Rams+3.5(Winner)(2 units)+2.00
Steelers-5(-105)(Winner)+1.00
Steelers-4.5(2 units)(Winner)+2.00
Lions+7(2 units)-2.20

Teaser(6pts)+180(Winner)+1.80
Giants-1(W)
Colts+9(W)
Eagles+3.5(W)

Best Wishes!!

6-6-1, -1.30

YTD 37-26, +10.40

CFB Sat 9/15

YTD 19-11, +7.15

Let's try these today.

I'll add as we go.

Ohio St-16.5(loss)
Pittsburgh+10.5(Winner)
Auburn-15(-105)(loss)
Maryland+3(push)
Alabama-20(-105)(Winner)
C.Florida-17(loss)
Tennessee-3(+100)(loss)
USC-9(-105)(loss)
Stanford+8.5(-115)(Winner)
2ndH Stanford+3.5(2 units)(Winner)
Wisky-14(loss)
2ndH Wisky-7.5(Winner)
FresnoSt-14(-105)(Winner)
UTEP-14(-105)(loss)
MichiganSt-5.5(-105)(loss)
2ndHNotreDame+3.5(-105)(Winner)
2ndH Texas-5(-120)(Winner)
Utah+3.5(-105)(Winner)
2ndH BYU-3(+105)(loss)
2ndH Over 21.5(+100)BYU-Utah(2 units)(Winner)
Houston+17.5(loss)
2ndH Under 32 Hou-UCLA(2 units)(Winner)


Best Wishes!!

11-10-1, +3.40

6-1 on 2nd Half bets made my day.

Turned a losing day into a winning day.

Congrats and Cheers Winners!!

YTD 30-21, +10.55

CFB Friday 9/14

YTD 18-11, +6.15

Let's try this.

Wash St-7.5(-105)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +1.00

YTD 19-11, +7.15

NFL Week 2 Update

YTD 31-20, +11.70

This is what I have so far.

Eagles-2.5(2 units)
Giants-7(-105)
Steelers-5(-105)

BOL!!

MLB Thurs 9/13

YTD 215-239, +7.84: Sept 6-12, -5.58

Baseball is killing me.

Was trying to stay away.

But the Phillies are making a heck of a run.

And there are interesting races going on.

So, I'm sucked back in.

Let's try these.

Rays-112(loss)-1.12
Over 8.5(-105)TB-Bal(loss)-1.05
Phillies-135(loss)-1.35
Over 8(-120)Phi-Hou(Winner)+1.00
Cards+110(Winner)+1.10
Over 7.5(-120)Stl-LAD(loss)-1.20

Best Wishes!!

2-4, -2.62

I had to jump aboard and sink the Phils.

YTD 217-243, +5.14: Sept 8-16, -8.20

NFL Game of the Month!!

208 Philadelphia Eagles-2.5

"How in the world are the Eagles favored over the Ravens," asked Philly sports talk radio host and super-square Angelo Cataldi. The Eagles are getting roasted in the media for their sloppy game last week. They had 12 penalties and 5 turnovers. Vick had 4 int's, but was able to put together a winning drive late. He had only taken 12 snaps in the preseason due to injury, and clearly wasn't ready. "Oh, man," the quarterback said. "I gotta get out of Cleveland." "I thought he was rusty," Eagles coach Andy Reid said. "But he kept competing, kept shooting. He's our quarterback and he had to work through it. He had to play, had to endure and had to tough it out." I like good teams off a loss. And this surely felt like a loss to Eagles players, coaches, and fans. Here are some of the stories coming out of that game. Andy Takes Heat For Vicks Picks. Obviously Lurie Put Too Much Pressure on Reid, Vick. Why Vick May Cost Reid His Job in Philly, etc. This reminds me of the Jets, who were a national joke for not scoring preseason TD's. They seemed to use that as added motivation as they blasted the Bills.

The Ravens looked pretty good against the plucky Bengals. I can image them high fiving in the film session watching Ed Reed returning the cliching pick 6. They should feel good. They got a prime time division win against a decent Cincy squad. "Obviously, everything went pretty well for us tonight," Flacco said. Now they have to go on the road, on a short week vs a focused nonconference opponent.

This is a big early season game for Reid, Vick and Co. I think we are getting solid, results-based value here. This line was Phi-3.5 at The Greek 3 days ago!! Accordingly, 91% of the early action has been on the Ravens per SportsInsights. Misperception plus overreaction equals betting value. When you have a situation edge and can also get real market value, you've got a solid play. Anything less than 3 is a true bargain here, IMO.

Best Wishes!!

Early Week 3 CFB

These lines should move to our favor.

So I wanted to get ahead of things.

Alabama-20.5(-120)
Stanford+8.5(-115)
C.Florida-17(-105)

Best Wishes!!

MLB Tues. 9/11

Sorry for past posting these.

This is for my record keeping.

YTD 212-238, +5.64: Sept 3-11, -7.78

Marlins+200(loss)-1.00
Over 7.5(-115)Mia-Phi(Winner)+1.15
Nationals(+100)(Winner)+1.00
Over 7(+105)Was-NYM(Winner)

3-1, +2.20

YTD 215-239, +7.84: Sept 6-12, -5.58


Ticket#5233352
Sep 11 07:07 PM
Sep 11 07:07 PM
Internet 09/11/2012 06:46 PM
MLB
MLB
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[951] MIAMI MARLINS +200
( N. EOVALDI -R / R. HALLADAY -R )
[951] TOTAL o7½-115 (MIAMI MARLINS vrs PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES)
( N. EOVALDI -R / R. HALLADAY -R )
LOSE

Ticket#5233300
Sep 11 07:11 PM
Sep 11 07:11 PM
Internet 09/11/2012 06:44 PM
MLB
MLB
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[953] WASHINGTON NATIONALS EV
( JO.ZIMMERMAN -R / R.A. DICKEY -R )
[953] TOTAL o7+105 (WASHINGTON NATIONALS vrs NEW YORK METS)
( JO.ZIMMERMAN -R / R.A. DICKEY -R )
WIN

NFL Thurs 9/13

YTD 29-20, +8.70

Think this line will close 6+, so...

Packers-5.5(2 units)(Winner)+2.00
2ndH Bears+1(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

2-0, +3.00

Needed these cuz bases are leaking.

YTD 31-20, +11.70

MNF 9/10

YTD 27-19, +7.80

Let's try this.

Teaser(6pts)(Winner)
Ravens-1(W)
Chargers+7.5(W)

Over 42.5 Cin-Bal(Winner)

Since the Over is in.

And the Ravens Teaser leg is looking strong...

May as well lock in a profit, and take a middle shot.

Raiders-0.5(-110)(loss)

Best Wishes!!

2-1, +0.90

YTD 29-20, +8.70

US Open Final

Serena Williams-5.5(-115)(loss)

Best Wishes!!

NFL Week 1

YTD 21-17, +3.85

Let's try these today

Bears-9.5(Winner)
Jets-3(+110)(Winner)
Dolphins+14(-115)(loss)
Rams+9(-105)(Winner)
Browns+10.5(-120)(Winner)
Packers-5(+100)(loss)
Broncos-2(Winner)

Teaser(6pts)(Winner)
Bucs+8.5(W)
Broncos+4.5(W)

Best Wishes!!

Strong day 6-2, +3.95!!

Congrats and Cheers Winners!!

YTD 27-19, +7.80

CFB Saturday 9/8

YTD 13-4, +8.75

Early(1-3, -2.20)
VIRGINIA-10(-105)(loss)
Maryland+10(-105)(Winner)
OHIO ST-17(loss)
Miami+7(loss)

Middle(2-2, -0.15)
C.MICHIGAN+18.5(loss)
NEVADA-1(-105)(loss)
SYRACUSE+25(-105)(Winner)
FloridaPK(-105)(Winner)

Late(2-2, -0.25)
Vandy-3(loss)
Illinois+4.5(-115)(loss)
STANFORD-15(-105)(Winner)
ARIZONA+10.5(-105)(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

Looking like a disaster in the early set 1-3.

Middle was looking solid until Nevada choked.

We can do better.

5-7, -2.60

YTD 18-11, +6.15

MLB Fades Friday 9/7

YTD 212-236, +7.64: Sept 3-9, -5.78

I'm so cold, probably better off fading.

Rockies+195(loss)
Over 7.5(+100)Col-Phi(loss)

Best Wishes!!

Fade machine right now.

0-2, -2.00

YTD 212-238, +5.64: Sept 3-11, -7.78

NFL Week 1 Line Breakdown

By Chad Millman

A couple of weeks ago, I wrote about the myth of the opening number and how, since the days of old-time bookmaker Bob Martin and the Stardust hotel, the importance of that line has diminished. As I pointed out in the piece, the numbers for the NFL season open as early as May. That isn't just for one game; that is for every game, from September through December.

The subject came up again in a podcast I did this week with Cantor bookmaker Mike Colbert. (For those who dared not to listen, Cantor runs the sports books at several casinos, including the M, Tropicana, Palazzo, Venetian, Hard Rock and Cosmopolitan.) Colbert beat the rest of the industry by putting up 16 weeks' worth of numbers last spring, every week except Week 17. What I didn't understand was, if I am a bettor playing Week 1 games this week, what number am I getting? The ones he set in May? Or a new set that takes into account everything that has happened in training camp since then?

"The numbers we put up in May come down when we get to Week 1," Colbert said, "and the action on those is almost entirely sharp. We don't get a lot of square bettors looking to bet midseason NFL games in the middle of spring."

Keep in mind that Cantor uses a pretty sophisticated computer program to help set the lines for each game. It accounts for thousands of factors and spits out a projected line. It's a number Colbert and his team consider strongly when deciding on what the final line will be. They call the machine Midas and keep it locked in a room away from the viewing public. I once did a piece about Midas for "E:60" and asked if I could get a look. Colbert's boss, Lee Amaitis, stared me down and said, "No one sees Midas."

With Midas and the brainpower of his team, Colbert usually feels pretty good about the numbers he is posting. But even if Colbert is leaving himself vulnerable to sharp players by coming out first with an entire season's worth of booty, there is still an advantage to being out early that plays directly into the first week of the season. Between the first postings and how the season win totals are played, Colbert gets a clear picture of how wiseguys feel about certain teams. Which means, in theory, he should be able to post a number for Week 1 that is pre-pounded.

At least in theory. I asked Colbert to send me his May 1 Week 1 lines, the lines he posted last weekend and the lines as of Wednesday night. Here is what they looked like, with comments from Colbert about decisions made and money coming in where applicable:

Cowboys vs. Giants (just fun to do in retrospect)

May 1: Giants -3
Sept. 1: Giants -4
Sept. 5: Giants -3.5

"Personally, I am going to be all over the Cowboys," Colbert said Wednesday night.

Good for Mike. I should have listened to him. Instead I spent the second half of the game watching the Democratic National Convention, knowing I had no chance of winning Giants -3.5.

Colts vs. Bears

May 1: Bears -10
Sept. 1: Bears -10
Sept. 5: Bears -9.5

Eagles vs. Browns

May 1: Eagles -7
Sept. 1: Eagles -7.5
Sept. 5: Eagles -9

Bills vs. Jets

May 1: Jets -6
Sept. 1: Jets -3
Sept. 5: Jets -2.5

Colbert says: "Our limits in the spring are much lower on these opening numbers, just $2,000 to $5,000. During the season, we will take up to $100,000. Still, this is interesting to me. There is no way a sharp who likes to get the best number would bet the Bills plus-3 now when he could have had the plus-6 way back when. Our model still makes the Jets 5.5-point favorites in this game, but it is weighted heavily on last year. Even now that it is at 2.5, there are not a lot of people coming in to lay it. I would not have expected, when a line has moved three points, for smart guys to take the three. Personally, I think there is value on the Jets now. Even stranger? The Jets are usually a big public team. They usually get bet on quite a bit, but even today we are taking Bills money-line bets. Those are probably among the ticket leaders."

Redskins vs. Saints

May 1: Saints -10
Sept. 1: Saints -9.5
Sept. 5: Saints -7

Colbert says: "This was all sharp money happening in a 24-hour period from Tuesday to Wednesday afternoon."

Patriots vs. Titans

May 1: Patriots -7
Sept. 1: Patriots -6.5
Sept. 5: Patriots -5.5

Colbert says: "Sharp, sharp money has bet 'dog, but we can't go too far down, though. Around 75 percent of our action comes on Sunday morning, and we know Patriot money is going to come in then."

Jags vs. Vikings

May 1: Vikings -4
Sept. 1: Vikings -4
Sept. 5: Vikings -4

Dolphins vs. Texans

May 1: Texans -6
Sept. 1: Texans -10
Sept. 5: Texans -12.5

Colbert says: "The biggest, best and sharpest bets we've taken are minus-10 and minus-10.5. I think we probably underestimated how good Houston is and overestimated Miami. We were high on Miami because of a strong finish last year, and our computer model spit them out as a good team. It still overvalues them. We can't stop taking bets on that game. It's going to go to 13. As I sit here, there are bets coming in on Houston."

Rams vs. Lions

May 1: Lions -9.5
Sept. 1: Lions -9.5
Sept. 5: Lions -7

Colbert says: "This is real similar to Saints-Redskins. Same numbers, with the smart money coming in on the Rams."

Falcons vs. Chiefs

May 1: Chiefs -1
Sept. 1: Falcons -2
Sept. 5: Falcons -2.5

49ers vs. Packers

May 1: Packers -6.5
Sept. 1: Packers -4.5
Sept. 5: Packers -5.5

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

May 1: Buccaneers -1
Sept. 1: Panthers -3
Sept. 5: Panthers -1.5

Colbert says: "We took six or seven limit bets on the Panthers in the spring. This moved all the way to 3, and then we took a bunch of Tampa plus-3. It won't move from where it is. I think initially we rated Tampa much better than the market did. Fezzik could tell you firsthand he came in here and bet against Tampa in a lot of games. We think Tampa is a little bit better than the market. This is one where we will find out after the game who is really right."

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

May 1: Cardinals -2.5
Sept. 1: Seahawks -1.5
Sept. 5: Seahawks -2.5

Colbert says: "This was us underestimating Seattle's worth. That game is traditionally is always going to be Zona minus-3, and the wiseguys bet against Zona in everything we did, and they bet on Seattle in everything. Smart guys rate them to be much better than Zona, obviously, because that game moved five points, on the road, with a rookie quarterback."

Steelers vs. Broncos

May 1: Steelers -1
Sept. 1: Pick 'em
Sept. 5: Broncos -1.5

Bengals vs. Ravens

May 1: Ravens -7
Sept. 1: Ravens -6.5
Sept. 5: Ravens -6

Chargers vs. Raiders

May 1: Chargers -1
Sept. 1: Pick 'em
Sept. 5: Raiders -1.5

Colbert says: "Another sharp, sharp game. The Chargers have been bet against in everything we have done."

CFB Friday 9/7

YTD 11-3, +7.75

UTAH ST+7(Winner)
2ndH Utah-4(+100)(loss)
2ndH Over 24(+100)UT-UTS(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

Close to a sweep.

2-1, +1.00

YTD 13-4, +8.75

CFB Sat 9/8 Updated

YTD 13-4, +8.75

This is what I have so far.

Early
VIRGINIA-10(-105)
Maryland+10(-105)
OHIO ST-18(-105)
Miami+7
NEVADA-1
STANFORD-15

Best Wishes!!

US Open Tennis Value Play

Just playing the number here.

SARA ERRANI+1550(loss) vs S. Williams

Best Wishes!!

This was a waste.

Ice Cold MLB Thurs 9/6

YTD 212-235, +8.71: Sept 3-8, -4.71

On a really bad run.

Yankees-107(loss)-1.07
Over 9 Tex-KC(push)

Best Wishes!!

0-1-1, -1.07

YTD 212-236, +7.64: Sept 3-9, -5.78

CFB Early for Sat 9/8

YTD 11-3, +7.75

This is what I have so far.

Early
Virginia-10(-105)
Maryland+10(-105)
Ohio St-18(-105)

Best Wishes!!

CFB Thurs 9/6

YTD 9-2-1, +6.80

Cincinnati-4(Winner)+1.00
2ndH Pitt+1.5(-105)(loss)-1.05
2ndH Over 24 Pitt-Cin(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

I'm looking to come back late with Pitt.

Line already up to 6 with 3.5 hours to go.

Would like for the line to hit 7.

Then we would have a decent middle shot.

Stand by and keep an eye on the number.


As soon as I post this line gets knocked back to 5.5.

Gotta hope there's still Cincy money out there.


Well the line never got back to 6.

So, I had to stick with Cincy.

It ended ok.

2-1, +0.95

YTD 11-3, +7.75

NFL Week 1

YTD 21-17, +3.85

This is what I have so far.

Not sure what these lines will do.

Think these are good enough for now.


Jets-3(+110)
Dolphins+13(-115)
Rams+7.5(-105)
Browns+9
Packers-5(+100)

Teaser(6pts)
Bucs+8.5
Broncos+4.5

May add a play or two later.

Best Wishes!!

NFL Season Opener

Let's try this tonight.

Giants-3.5(+100)(loss)

Best Wishes!!

Feel like such a square after this.

Every square I asked like the Giants here.

As the line trickled DOWN at Pinny.

That was a market tell I ignored here.

I was sold on my NY position tho.

And paid the price.

0-1, -1.00

Learn and move on.

MLB Tues 9/4

YTD 212-234, +9.71: Sept 3-7, -3.71

Can't win for anything.

Phillies+163(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

Can't buy one.

YTD 212-235, +8.71: Sept 3-8, -4.71

MLB Mon 9/3

YTD 211-232, +10.70: Sept 2-5, -2.72

Giants+101(Winner)+1.01
Athletics+102(loss)-1.00
Red Sox+103(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

Can't win for shit now.

1-2, -0.99

YTD 212-234, +9.71: Sept 3-7, -3.71

CFB Mon 9/3

YTD 6-2, +3.80

1stH Ga Tech+4.5(Winner)
Ga Tech+7.5(Winner)
Under 47.5 GT-VT(Winner)
2ndH Over 23(+105)(37)GT-VT(push)

Best Wishes!!

Just a hair from a 4-0 sweep.

But I'll take 3-0-1, +3.00.

Congrats and Cheers Winners!!

YTD 9-2-1, +6.80

CFB Sunday 9/2

YTD 6-1, +4.90

2ndH SMU+0.5(loss)

Best Wishes!!

0-1, -1.10

YTD 6-2, +3.80

MLB Sunday 9/2

YTD 209-227, +13.42: Sept 0-0

Let's try these today.

Mets+136(Winner)+1.36
Over 8 NYM-Mia(loss)-1.10
Cards+150(loss)-1.00
Over 7.5(-108)Stl-Was(loss)-1.08
Twins+132(loss)-1.00
Phillies+102(loss)-1.00
Over 7(-105)Phi-Atl(Winner)+1.00


Best Wishes!!

Ugly day capped off with Phils debacle 2-5, -2.72.

YTD 211-232, +10.70: Sept 2-5, -2.72

CFB Saturday 9/1

YTD 0-0

Big board.

Let's get the party started.

Early
Ohio+6.5(Winner)
Syracuse-1(loss)
Illinois-9.5(Winner)

Late
Alabama-13(Winner)
Over 48.5 Mich-Ala(Winner)
2ndH Under 24 Mich-Ala(Winner)
Toledo+10.5(Winner)

Best Wishes!!

Great way to start the college football season.

4-1 on sides, and a nice 2-0 middle on the Bama total.

So we rolled a strong 6-1, +4.90!!

Congrats and Cheers Winners!!

YTD 6-1, +4.90