MLB Tues. 7/31

YTD 192-210, +9.42: July 35-46, -8.12

Let's try these tonight.

Phillies+130(2 units)(Winner)+2.60
Over 6.5(-113)Phi-Wash(2 units)(Winner)+2.00

Best Wishes!!

Nice to end July on a positive note.

Probably the best day of the month, lol.

2-0, +4.60

YTD 194-210, +14.02: July 37-46, -3.52

MLB Monday 7/30

YTD 188-207, +8.12: July 31-43, -9.42

Let's try these tonight.

Athletics+123(Winner)+123
Over 6.5(-105)TB-Oak(Winner)+1.00
B-Jays-103(loss)-1.03
Over 7.5(+107)Tor-Sea(loss)-1.00
D-Backs+111(Winner)+1.11
Over 7.5(+100)Az-LAD(Winner)+1.00
Giants-1.5(+115)(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

4-3, +1.30

YTD 192-210, +9.42: July 35-46, -8.12

MLB Sunday 7/29

YTD 182-203, +5.64: July 25-39, -11.90

July has been brutal.

Glad there's only a few days left.

Let's try these.

Braves-102(Winner)+1.00
Athletics+120)loss)-1.00
Twins-108(Winner)+1.00
Brewers+137(loss)-1.00
Over 8.5(-110)Wash-Mil(Winner)+1.00
Mets+103(Winner)+1.03
Dodgers-108(Winner)+1.00
Chi-Sox+143(loss)-1.00
Over 10(-115)Chi-Tex(loss)-1.15
Red Sox+160(Winner)+160

Best Wishes!!

6-4, +2.48

YTD 188-207, +8.12: July 31-43, -9.42

NFL Week 1 Dogs

....Off a 10 loss season have been money.(Beyond The Bets)

The St. Louis Rams struggled in 2011 but could be poised for a bounce-back season after making a coaching change and putting together a strong draft. The Rams are 10-point underdogs at Detroit in Week 1.

Week 1 NFL underdogs coming off a 10-loss season have covered the spread at a 58.4 percent rate since 1990.

Geoff Kulesa, a handicapper at Wunderdog Sports, was the first to make the claim prior to the 2011 season while appearing on a Chad Millman podcast. Then, a few weeks later, underdogs who fit the system promptly went 6-0-1 ATS, including three outright victories.

Kulesa, who says he uses “around 500 or 600″ different systems to determine his week-to-week NFL plays, said at the time that the reasoning behind the trend is quite simple: The public doesn’t want to bet on what they believe to be bad teams in their first NFL action of the year, and oddsmakers overadjust to compensate for this tendency.

That, in turn, creates value on the underdog.

“People can’t bring themselves to bet on that crappy, cruddy team like the Panthers. They see it in their head, they see the game unfolding and the team losing by 20 points, so they go with the safer one, the one they feel is going to win, the big favorite.

“Generally, people are going to bet against these teams in week one, and the oddsmakers know that, and they’re going to shade the lines a little bit. All you need is a small edge.”

Teams that fit this system are 83-59-1 since 1990 and, by our count, there are six such teams in Week 1. Here are current odds, courtesy of 5Dimes:

Indianapolis (+11) @ Chicago
Philadelphia @ Cleveland (+9)
Buffalo (+3.5) @ NY Jets
Washington (+11) @ New Orleans
Miami (+8) @ Houston
St. Louis (+10) @ Detroit

Streaking 7/24

YTD 3-6, -3.59

This poster has won 10 in a row.

Tigers-119(loss)-1.19

Best Wishes!!

Looking like a possible fade system.

YTD 3-7, -4.78

MLB Tuesday 7/24

YTD 179-197, +8.67: July 22-33, -8.87

Let's try these today.

Brewers+122(loss)-1.00
Over 7.5(+105)Mil-Phi(Winner)+1.05
Mets-108(loss)-1.08
Over 7.5(+116)Wash-NYM(loss)-1.00
Astros+121(loss)-1.00
Dodgers+110(loss)-1.00
Over 7.5(-110)LA-Stl(Winner)+1.00
Under 10.5(-107)Bos-Tex(Winner)+1.00
Over 7(+104)NYY-Sea(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

3-6, -3.03

YTD 182-203, +5.64: July 25-39, -11.90

MLB Monday 7/23

YTD 176-192, +10.77: July 19-28, -6.77

Let's try these tonight.

Red Sox+122(loss)-1.00
Over 10.5(-110)Bos-Tex(loss)-1.10
Twins+122(loss)-1.00
Over 9(-107)Min-CWS(Winner)+1.00
Over 7.5(+115)NYY-Sea(loss)-1.00
Under 9(+102)Col-Az(push)
Over 7.5(+100)KC-LAA(Winner)+1.00
Padres+151(loss)-1.00
Over 6.5(-111)SD-SF(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

3-5-1, -2.10

YTD 179-197, +8.67: July 22-33, -8.87

Streaking 7/22

YTD 3-5, -2.59

This player has won 9 in a row.

Over 7.5(+112)Col-SD(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

YTD 3-6, -3.59

MLB Sunday 7/22

YTD 171-187, +8.67: July 14-23, -8.87

Let's try these today.

Brewers+130(loss)-1.00
Braves+133(loss)-1.00
B-Jays+173(Winner)+1.73
Giants+136(loss)-1.00
Mariners+137(Winner)+1.37
Twins+138(Winner)+1.38
Over 7.5(+112)Col-SD(loss)-1.00
Athletics+170(Winner)+1.70

4-4, +2.18

Night
Rangers-110(loss)-1.10
Over 8(+102)Tex-LAA(Winner)+1.02

Best Wishes!!

5-5, +2.10

YTD 176-192, +10.77: July 19-28, -6.77

Streaking 7/16

YTD 3-4, -1.40

This guy has won 12 in a row.

Rays-119(loss)-1.19

Best Wishes!!

YTD 3-5, -2.59

MLB Mon 7/16

YTD 167-184, +7.32: July 10-20, -10.22

Can't stop the bleeding.

Tigers-116(Winner)+1.00
Indians+113(Winner)+1.13
D-Backs+115(Winner)+1.15
Nationals-106(loss)-1.06
Chi-Sox+135(loss)-1.00
Astros+113(Winner)+1.13
Dodgers+102(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

4-3, +1.35

YTD 171-187, +8.67: July 14-23, -8.87

MLB Sun 7/15

YTD 166-178, +12.53: July 9-14, -5.01

Let's try these today.

Twins-107(loss)-1.07
Over 8.5(-120)Oak-Min(Winner)+1.00
D-Backs-102(loss)-1.02
Over 7.5(-107)AZ-Chi(loss)-1.07
Rockies+122(loss)-1.00
Over 10(-105)Phi-Col(loss)-1.05
Over 7.5(-102)Tex-Sea(loss)-1.02

Best Wishes!!

Disaster strikes.

1-6, -5.21

MLB Saturday 7/14

YTD 164-175, +13.45: July 7-11, -4.09

Let's try these today.

Nationals-105(loss)-1.05
Athletics+109(Winner)+1.09
Red Sox+152(loss)-1.00
Rockies+108)(loss)-1.00
Mariners+104(Winner)+1.04

Lean
Tigers-126(loss)

Best Wishes!!

2-3, -0.92

YTD 166-178, +12.53: July 9-14, -5.01

Streaking 7/14

YTD 3-3, -0.14

This pick is from a player that has won 11 in a row.

Other top contestants agree.

MLB
Tigers-126(loss)

Best Wishes!!

YTD 3-4, -1.40

Streaking 7/8

YTD 2-3, -1.14

This player has won 12 in a row.

Pirates-126(Winner)+1.00

Best Wishes!!

1-0, +1.00

YTD 3-3, -0.14

MLB Sun 7/8

YTD 160-170, +13.11: July 3-8, -4.43

Let's try these today.


Cubs+150(Winner)+1.50
Braves+137(Winner)+1.37
Over 8.5(-102)Atl-Phi(loss)-1.02
Over 8(-103)Mil-Hou(push)
Rockies+175(Winner)+1.75
B-Jays+111(Winner)+1.11
Marlins+111(loss)-1.00
Orioles+115(loss)-1.00
Mariners-113(loss)-1.13
Red Sox-122(loss)-1.22

Best Wishes!!

Started good, but finished weakly 4-5-1, +0.34

YTD 164-175, +13.45: July 7-11, -4.09

Streak Experiment

YTD 0-2, -2.14

Today 3 players are tied with 10 wins.

Reds-109(Winner)
Over 10.5 NYY-Bos(Winner)
Yankees+103(loss)

Best Wishes!!

2-1, +1.00

YTD 2-3, -1.14

MLB Saturday 7/7

YTD 159-165, +16.82: July 2-3, -0.72

Let's try these today.

Marlins+131(loss)-1.00
GM2 Yankees+104(loss)-1.00
Cubs+135(loss)-1.00
Phillies-102(loss)-1.02
Twins+175(loss)-1.00
Mariners+131(Winner)+1.31

Best Wishes!!

Brutal day on the diamond.

1-5, -3.71

YTD 160-170, +13.11: July 3-8, -4.43

MLB Friday 7/6

YTD 157-163, +16.54: July 0-1, -1.00

Let's try these today.

Phillies+110(loss)-1.00
Yankees-102(Winner)+1.00
Marlins+128(Winner)+1.28
Padres+110(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

2-2, +0.28

YTD 159-165, +16.82: July 2-3, -0.72

Streak Experiment 7/6

YTD 0-1, -1.10

This is player has won 11 in a row.

Dodgers-104

Best Wishes!!

RIP Uncle Jake!!

Been mourning the sudden loss of my uncle.

He was really like a brother to me.

My mom raised him from the age of 12.

Gordon Keith McIver passed on July 1, 2012.

Jake will be dearly missed.

It was a very peaceful Janaza Prayer service.

The family is very happy about the way things went.

Special thanks to our friend Kenyatta Bey.

Tajjaddeen would have been proud.

RIP Uncle Jake!!

Streak Experiment

Covers has a free contest called streak survivor.

If you pick 25 winners in a row you win 100k.

Used to be 21, but they moved it to 25 after somebody hit.

I play and follow the leader board for amusement.

Anyway, I'm gonna track the leaders picks until they lose.

And move on to the next leader, etc.

I'll figure out a way to resolve a multi-leader scenario.

Maybe I'll post all non conflict picks.

Just want to see how they do.

Sides and totals will be graded -110 unless noted.

The leader today has won 16 in a row.

YTD 0-0

CFL
Over 55 Montreal-Calgary(loss)

Best Wishes!!

YTD 0-1, -1.10

MLB Sunday 7/1

YTD 155-160, +17.54: July 0-0: June 43-37, +12.23

Had to shut it down as we hit a bad run.

But July is here so let's see.....

...if we can get back on track.

Marlins-117(Winner)+1.00
Nationals+105(Winner)+1.05
Orioles-105(loss)-1.05
Chi-Sox+132(loss)-1.00
D-Backs+125(loss)-1.00

Best Wishes!!

2-3, -1.00

YTD 157-163, +16.54: July 0-1, -1.00